Longer title for this question: To what extent does misinformation/disinformation (or the rise of deepfakes) pose a problem? And to what extent is it tractable?
- Are there good analyses of the scope of this problem? If not, does anyone want to do a shallow exploration?
- Are there promising interventions (e.g.certificates of some kind) that could be effective (in the important sense)?
Context and possibly relevant links:
- Deepfakes: A Grounded Threat Assessment - Center for Security and Emerging Technology (I’ve only skimmed the beginning of this paper — would really appreciate a partial summary or an epistemic spot check of some kind)
- Misinformation (EA Forum Wiki)
- The "misinformation problem" seems like misinformation
- Deepfake video of Zelenskyy could be 'tip of the iceberg' in info war, experts warn
- Nina Schick on disinformation and the rise of synthetic media - 80,000 Hours
- Fake news in India - Wikipedia
- The spread of misinformation: A pattern we see over and over | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
I’m posting this because I’m genuinely curious, and feel like I lack a lot of context on this. I haven't done any relevant research myself.
You mean people hate on others who fall for misinformation? I haven't noticed that so far. My impression of the misinformation discourse is ~ "Yeah, this shit is scary, today it might still be mostly easy to avoid, but we'll soon drown in an ocean of AI-generated misinformation!"
Which also doesn't seem right. I think I expect this to be in large part a technical problem that will mostly get solved because it is and probably will be such a prominent issue in the coming years, affecting many of the most profitable tech firms.