Nathan Young
Bio
Participation4
Create prediction markets and forecasting questions on AI risk and biorisk. I have been awarded an FTX Future Fund grant and I work part-time at a prediction market.
Use my connections on Twitter to raise the profile of these predictions and increase the chance that decision-makers discuss these issues.
I am uncertain about how to run an org for my FTXFF grant and whether prediction markets will be a good indicator in practice.
How others can help me
Talking to those in forecasting to improve my forecasting question generation tool
Writing forecasting questions on EA topics.
Meeting EAs I become lifelong friends with.
How I can help others
Connecting them to other EAs.
Writing forecasting questions on metaculus.
Talking to them about forecasting.
Posts 119
Comments2023
Topic contributions19
You could put on manifund - that seems like a great place for this kind of thing https://manifund.org/
I think this is a particularly good piece by Peter, though I am crying reading it. https://www.pasteurscube.com/for-samantha-a-eulogy/
Is there a single place one can search all grants? Ideally with these evaluations attached where relevant?
If not, would it be worth supporting either @Austin and @Rachel Weinberg or @Hamish Doodles or @vipulnaik to make one? Seems like having searchable public databases is worth the $5 -20k it would cost.