The first section is a decent summary:

It's common for groups of people to want to evaluate specific things. Here are a few examples I'm interested in:

  • The expected value of projects or actions within projects
  • Research papers, on specific rubrics
  • Quantitative risk estimates
  • Important actions that may get carried out by artificial intelligences

I think predictions could be useful in scaling and amplifying such evaluation processes. Humans and later AIs could predict intensive evaluation results. There has been previous discussion on related topics, but I thought it would be valuable to consider a specific model here called "prediction-augmented evaluation processes." This is a high-level concept that could be used to help frame future discussion.

6

0
0

Reactions

0
0
Comments
No comments on this post yet.
Be the first to respond.
Curated and popular this week
Relevant opportunities