Today we are sharing with our blog readers a collection of yet-to-be-published drafts, in the hope of receiving feedback. We are especially looking for methodological critique, but all comments welcome!

Human-level performance estimate (Katja Grace)

How much hardware will we need to create AGI? (Asya Bergal, original idea credit to Ronny Fernandez)

Historic trends in AI Impacts productivity (Daniel Kokotajlo)

Analysis of superbombs as a global threat (Katja Grace)