Just wanted to say that I thought this post was very interesting and I was grateful to read it.

I only read up to the end of the "Bayesian Updating" part because the next section introduced a few terms I didn't know and seemed to be expected to be familiar with.

So on that section that I read, I can say that I didn't manage to follow it with all the numbers. This might just be because I'm a mathematician and I hate numbers. But formulas would have greatly helped.