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Victor Engmark

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Programmer

How I can help others

You have to write or contribute to open source Python code for your research. I'm a software developer with lots of experience in automated quality assurance. Together we can ensure that the code is adequately tested, as simple as possible while being correct, and easy to use for people who want to verify the results for themselves.

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List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading
Victor Engmark1
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The more uncertain cost-effectiveness estimates are, the stronger the effect of optimizer's curse is. Hence we should prefer interventions whose cost-effectiveness estimates are more robust.

Faced with such uncertainty, shouldn't we rather hedge our bets and split our support? For example, if project A has cost-effectiveness in the range of 70-80%, and project B has cost-effectiveness in the range 60-90%, wouldn't it be better (overall) to split the support evenly than to only support project A?

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