I don’t have anything to negate the track record you stated, but knowing the model and some of the people, it feels a little harsh on HIPS. I would say that DC is a little unique in ‘people like me should have decision making power’ in the sense that there are people making important decisions right now who are really bad at this (like you mentioned with the great example in California). I am not an expert in this, but that doesn’t feel right.
I think eventually, working on changing the EA introductory program is important. I think it is an extremely good thing to do well, and I think it could be improved. I'm running a 6 week version right now, and I'll see if I feel the same way at the end.
I'm running an EA intro group, and this perfectly answers a couple of questions that people had that I didn't know how to word answers to. On another note, while I agree with many of these points, I agree with @Vasco Grilo🔸 that RP has probably significantly underestimated the effect of pain on life.
I think that’s such a good point about risk neutrality - and when looking outside of EA spaces this is important to keep in mind, I think risk neutrality is so accepted in EA spaces it’s sometimes forgotten that outside it is not necessarily so.
Also, just a really moving post. Trying to do the best you can in an emotional yet rational way. I really appreciate this.