The price of the WLD token on Binance.com is approximately $2.3 as of July 31, 2023

I wouldn't assume this to be stable. Also, verification is currently only available in 18 countries: https://worldcoin.org/find-orb

Excited to hear which Manifold comments won prizes! Also unclear to me if EU fish advocacy should resolve the EU animal advocacy or the fish advocacy market YES

updated full list announcement: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2Nnu9ykixiqG2mMit/ce-announcing-our-february-2024-charity-ideas-apply-now

The commenting prizes incentivized lots of great reasoning sharing rather than silent predictions, and I'm excited to hear which ideas are chosen

For forecasting prizes, requiring currencies benefits those who bet more over those who strictly forecast better. I borrowed hundreds of USD of Manifold's currency to bet more on the tournament:
https://manifold.markets/group/ce-2023-top-ideas/leaderboards
whereas other tournaments are more strictly based on forecasting:
https://salemcenter.manifold.markets/
https://www.metaculus.com/tournaments/

Also probably could get more traders if Manifold itself highlighted tournaments in a banner/sidebar/notification/email/etc. Expect the markets would not have all had less than 50 traders if more users knew thousands of additional USD were at stake:
https://manifold.markets/CE?tab=markets
https://manifold.markets/stats

X-axis of the university rank distribution histogram is distorted. Some bars represent 25x as many universities as other bars. Ideally it'd look like a smoothed version of the previous graph

Wider list if anyone's curious what's after mosquitos and snakes:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_deadliest_animals_to_humans

There are public biotech companies with ~$10B valuations and higher price/sales ratios: https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=121&f=cap_midover&o=-ps

And private valuations are much more generous than public valuations

90% or 99%

The giving pledge is 50%+, so I'd include 50%

As evidence increases for cognitive effects of poor air quality:
https://patrickcollison.com/pollution

There may be initial opportunities for extra impact by prioritizing monitoring and improving air quality in important decision-making buildings like government buildings, headquarters, etc

@mikefilbey switching from monthly to annually could save over half the Stripe processing fees