This is great! I love the simplicity and how fast and frictionless the experience is.

I think I might be part of the ideal target market, as someone who has long wanted to get more into the habit of concretely writing out his predictions but often lacks the motivation to do so consistently.

Does GWWC currently have a funding gap?

How much would you need to fund the activities you’d ideally like to do over the next two years?

(This can include current and former team members)

When are you gonna go on the 80,000 Hours podcast, Luke? :)

Thank you to the CAIS team (and other colleagues) for putting this together. This is such a valuable contribution to the broader AI risk discourse.

This is great, thanks for the change. As someone who aspires to use evidence and careful reasoning to determine how to best use my altruistic resources, I sometimes get uncomfortable when people call me an effective altruist.

+1, I would like things like that too. I agree that having much of the great object-level work in the field route through forums (alongside a lot of other material that is not so great) is probably not optimal.

I will say though that going into this, I was not particularly impressed with the suite of beginner articles out there — sans some of Kelsey Piper's writing — and so I doubt we're anywhere close to approaching the net-negative territory for the marginal intro piece.

One approach to this might be a soft norm of trying to arxiv-ify things that would be publishable on arxiv without much additional effort.

Very cool! I’m excited to see where this project goes.

Thanks for taking the time to write up your views on this. I'd be keen on reading more posts like this from other folks with backgrounds in ML — particularly those who aren't already already in the EA/LessWrong/AIS sphere.