DR

david_reinstein

Founder and Co-Director @ The Unjournal
3805 karmaJoined Working (15+ years)Monson, MA, USA

Bio

See davidreinstein.org

I'm the Founder and Co-director of The Unjournal;. W  organize and fund public journal-independent feedback, rating, and evaluation of hosted papers and dynamically-presented research projects. We will focus on work that is highly relevant to global priorities (especially in economics, social science, and impact evaluation). We will encourage better research by making it easier for researchers to get feedback and credible ratings on their work.


Previously I was a Senior Economist at Rethink Priorities, and before that n Economics lecturer/professor for 15 years.

I'm  working to impact EA fundraising and marketing; see https://bit.ly/eamtt

And projects bridging EA, academia, and open science.. see bit.ly/eaprojects

My previous and ongoing research focuses on determinants and motivators of charitable giving (propensity, amounts, and 'to which cause?'), and drivers of/barriers to effective giving, as well as the impact of pro-social behavior and social preferences on market contexts.

Podcasts: "Found in the Struce" https://anchor.fm/david-reinstein

and the EA Forum podcast: https://anchor.fm/ea-forum-podcast (co-founder, regular reader)

Twitter: @givingtools

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Project Idea: 'Cost to save a life' interactive calculator promotion


What about making and promoting a ‘how much does it cost to save a life’ quiz and calculator.

 This could be adjustable/customizable (in my country, around the world, of an infant/child/adult, counting ‘value added life years’ etc.) … and trying to make it go viral (or at least bacterial) as in the ‘how rich am I’ calculator? 


The case 

  1. People might really be interested in this… it’s super-compelling (a bit click-baity, maybe, but the payoff is not click bait)!
  2. May make some news headlines too (it’s an “easy story” for media people, asks a question people can engage with, etc. … ’how much does it cost to save a life? find out after the break!)
  3. if people do think it’s much cheaper than it is, as some studies suggest, it would probably be good to change this conception… to help us build a reality-based impact-based evidence-based community and society of donors
  4. similarly, it could get people thinking about ‘how to really measure impact’ --> consider EA-aligned evaluations more seriously

While GiveWell has a page with a lot of tech details, but it’s not compelling or interactive  in the way I suggest above, and I doubt  they market it heavily.

GWWC probably doesn't have the design/engineering time for this (not to mention refining this for accuracy and communication).  But if someone else (UX design, research support, IT) could do the legwork I think they might be very happy to host it. 

It could also mesh well with academic-linked research so I may have  some ‘Meta academic support ads’ funds that could work with this.
 

Tags/backlinks (~testing out this new feature) 
@GiveWell  @Giving What We Can
Projects I'd like to see 

EA Projects I'd Like to See 
 Idea: Curated database of quick-win tangible, attributable projects 

A good summary. Note that marginal per paper cost does not include our overhead, communications, building our network and tools, etc.

We're considering pushing this further and investing in a more bespoke, shareable, and automated platform:

Improving Technology and User Experience: We want to build better tools for scholars, policymakers, journalists, and philanthropists to engage with impactful research and The Unjournal’s work. This includes developing interactive LLM tools that allow users to ask questions about the research and evaluation packages, creating a more interactive and accessible experience. We also want to extend this to a larger database of impactful research, providing tools to aggregate and share users’ insights and discussion questions with researchers and beyond.


This may take the form of research/evaluation conversational notebooks, inspired by tools like NotebookLM and Perplexity. These notebooks would be automatically generated from our content (e.g., at unjournal.pubpub.org) and continuously updated. We envision:

  • Publicly shareable notebooks, also enabling users to share their notebook outputs
  • One notebook for each evaluation package, as well as notebooks covering everything in a particular area or related to an identified pivotal question.
  • A semantic search tool for users to query "what has The Unjournal evaluated?" across our entire database
  • Embedded explanations of the evaluation context, including The Unjournal’s goals and approach
  • Clear sourcing and transparent display of sources within both our content and basic web data. Academic citation and linking support
  • Fine tuning and query engineering to align the explanations with our communication style (and, in particular, to clarifying which points were raised by Unjournal managers versus independent evaluators, versus authors)

We aim beyond this, to 

  • Incorporate a wider set of research (e.g., all the work in our prioritized database)
  • Leverage users’ queries and conversation (with their permission) to provide feedback to researchers and practitioners on
    • Frequently-asked-questions and requests for clarification, especially those that were not fully resolved
    • Queries and comments suggesting doubts and scope for improvement
    • Ways users are approaching and incorporating the research in their own practice
  • … and similarly, to provide feedback to evaluators, and feedback that informs our own (Unjournal) approaches

Ultimately, this tool could become a "killer app" for conveying questions and feedback to researchers to help them improve and extend their work. In the long term, we believe these efforts could contribute to building future automated literature review and evaluation tools, related to the work of Elicit.org, Scite, and Research Rabbit.

We will support open-source, adaptable software. We expect these tools to be useful to other aligned orgs (e.g., to support ‘living literature reviews’). 

Interesting. But I wonder if they (or anyone) has considered this 

... as a source of funding (student fees, government aid if accredited, training subsidies from government and companies) 

rather than merely as an outflow?

Meant to post this in funding diversification week. A potential source of new and consistent funds: EA researchers/orgs could run research training programs.

Drawing some of the rents away from universities and keeping it in the system. These could be non-accredited but focus on publicly demonstrable skills and offer tailored letters of recommendation for a limited number of participants. Could train skills and mentor research particularly relevant to EA orgs and funders.

Students (EA and non-EA) would pay for this. Universities and government training funds could also be unlocked.

(More on this later, I think, I have a whole set of plans/notes).

Also, fwiw, a Perplexity search mainly agreed with you, with some caveats:

likely that a future Trump administration would attempt to undermine or preempt state legislation on animal welfare standards, particularly those related to farm animals.

Perhaps a 'side point', but as bad as the RFK anti-science skepticism is, I think it may actually cut in favor of animal welfare. Unwarranted health fears may combine with warranted considerations to bring concerns over the human risks of large-scale animal agriculture? Bad epistemics but may put this on the map? 

(Note, as I discuss here  I think RFK is a huge risk/disaster on the health and pandemic risk front).

I just commented here on the original post. I mention that we can separate discussion of the issues without discussing the elections themselves, but I think we should not be overly delicate about mentioning links to politicians and parties.

I give some further examples to emphasize the close connection between high-value issues and likely US policies in the coming Trump administration. 

I agree, it's too hard to disentangle these from any political discussion. I guess we could separate discussion of the issues (which we can reasonably link to politicians and parties) but not discuss the elections themselves. I (weak to moderate confidence) think EA and this forum could play a valuable role in bringing good epistemics, reasoning, and expertise to the discussions of the issues. And I think we should not trip over ourselves to refrain from tying these to the politics, where this is obvious. 

In line with your list, I think it's plausible that

1. HEALTH/PANDEMIC RISK: Putting RFK in charge of health, or giving him influence over it will strongly escalate the risk of pandemics and large-scale disease outbreaks in the US and internationally. As I understand it, RFK rejects vaccines and the integrity of the current scientific institutions. He will spread this as a matter of policy as well as through his social influence; both will boost vaccine hesitancy. He will likely drastically reduce US support for vaccine development and promotion, with global implications. 

(Representative evidence: He proposed allocating  half of the NIH's research budget to "preventive, alternative, and holistic" medicine.) 

2. NUCLEAR RISK: The US will fully or substantially abandon NATO and other institutions. This will be destabilizing and raise the risk of adventurism from Russia, China, and others, in turn raising the risk of nuclear war.

Fwiw these claims were broadly backed up by a query on Perplexity.  Full disclosure, Perplexity was less convinced than I am that that Trump will undermine foreign development aid budgets. They had a mixed response on animal welfare issues, but they agreed it is "likely that a future Trump administration would attempt to undermine or preempt state legislation on animal welfare standards, particularly those related to farm animals." 

I need to consider the visibility of the personal blog posts. If they are really ~invisible one possibility could be combining politics with the community section.

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