Currently doing local AI safety Movement Building in Australia and NZ.
One thing that is very confusing to me here: the experiment comparing entrepreneurs in charity entrepreneurship and random folk in in Kenya.
It seems pretty obvious to me that the value of treating a charity entrepreneur is at least a hundred or a thousand times greater than treating a random person. So I don't know why you would compare the two, given that if it works for the entrepreneurs at all, it'd be clearly higher impact. Assuming it works for the entrepreneurs, you're not going to get an effect a hundred or a thousand times greater for the Kenyans.
Ironically, I think one of the best ways to address this is more movement building. Lots of groups provide professional training to their movement builders and more of this (in terms of AI/AI safety knowledge) would reduce the chance that someone who could and wants to do technical work gets stuck in a community building role.
Just wanted to mention that if anyone liked my submissions (3rd prize, An Overview of “Obvious” Approaches to Training Wise AI Advisors, Some Preliminary Notes on the Promise of a Wisdom Explosion),
I'll be running a project related to this work as part of AI Safety Camp. Join me if you want to help innovate a new paradigm in AI safety.
I think a key crux here is whether you think AI timelines are short or long. If they're short, there's more pressure to focus on immediately applicable work. If they're long, then there's more benefit to having philosophers develop ideas which gradually trickle down.