Habryka clarifies in a later comment:
Yep, my model is that OP does fund things that are explicitly bipartisan (like, they are not currently filtering on being actively affiliated with the left). My sense is in-practice it's a fine balance and if there was some high-profile thing where Horizon became more associated with the right (like maybe some alumni becomes prominent in the republican party and very publicly credits Horizon for that, or there is some scandal involving someone on the right who is a Horizon alumni), then I do think their OP funding would have a decent chance of being jeopardized, and the same is not true on the left.
Another part of my model is that one of the key things about Horizon is that they are of a similar school of PR as OP themselves. They don't make public statements. They try to look very professional. They are probably very happy to compromise on messaging and public comms with Open Phil and be responsive to almost any request that OP would have messaging wise. That makes up for a lot. I think if you had a more communicative and outspoken organization with a similar mission to Horizon, I think the funding situation would be a bunch dicier (though my guess is if they were competent, an organization like that could still get funding).
More broadly, I am not saying "OP staff want to only support organizations on the left". My sense is that many individual OP staff would love to fund more organizations on the right, and would hate for polarization to occur, but that organizationally and because of constraints by Dustin, they can't, and so you will see them fund organizations that aim for more engagement with the right, but there will be relatively hard lines and constraints that will mostly prevent that.
This is super awesome! Thanks for sharing the specifics of what you did—it will definitely be useful info for us in the future. We’ve considered having people fill out fellowship apps during our intro talk but have worried that this might lower the quality of applicant responses. I’d be interested in knowing what your experience with it was.
To clarify, I agree that that the ways you can be liable mostly fall into the two categories you delineate but think that your characterization of the categories might be incorrect.
You say that a developer would be liable
- if you developed a covered model that caused more than $500M harm
- if you violated any of the prescribed transparency/accountability mechanisms in the bill
But I think a better characterization would be that you can be liable
if you developed a covered model that caused more than $500M harm-> if you fail to take reasonable care to prevent critical harms- if you violated any of the prescribed transparency/accountability mechanisms in the bill
It's possible "to fail to take reasonable care to prevent critical harms" even if you do not cause critical harms. The bill doesn't specify any new category of liability specifically for developers who have developed models that cause critical harm.
To use Casado's example, if a self-driving car was involved in an accident that resulted in a person's death, and if that self-driving car company did not "take reasonable care to prevent critical harms" by having a safety and security protocol much worse than that of other companies, it seems plausible that the company could be fined 10% of their compute/have to pay other damages. (I don't know if self-driving cars actually would be affected by this bill.)
I think the best reason this might be wrong is that courts might not be willing to entertain this argument or that in tort law "failing to take reasonable care to avoid something" requires that you "fail to avoid that thing"—but I don't have enough legal background/knowledge to know.
Thanks for your reply! I'm a bit confused—I think my understanding of the bill matches yours. The Vox article states "Otherwise, they would be liable if their AI system leads to a 'mass casualty event' or more than $500 million in damages in a single incident or set of closely linked incidents." (See also eg here and here). But my reading of the bill is that there is no mass casualty/$500 million threshold for liability like Vox seems to be claiming here.
Why do you think changing it is important? In the version that you're running right now, did you just shorten it, or did you change anything else?