Posts about the use of crowdsourcingEstimate elicitation and crowdsourcing, or other means of eliciting estimates from other people in order to achieve better estimates.people, can be helpful for more accurate estimation.
Fermi estimate | cause prioritization | expected value | forecasting | impact assessment | model uncertainty | prediction markets | value of information
Fermifermi estimate | cause prioritization | expected value | forecasting | impact assessment | model uncertainty | prediction markets | value of information |polismanifold markets | metaculus